Red Sox RHP Nathan Eovaldi (10-8, 3.58 ERA)
#YANKEES RED SOX WILD CARD PREDICTION SERIES#
Let us analysis Odds, Pitchers and match up Yankees, Red Sox open pivotal three-game series in Boston: Two games are all that separate the Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees in the American League wild-card standings as theĬlubs square off in Boston for a pivotal three-game series beginning Friday. Everyone else should be available for a relief corps that ranked 10th in bullpen FIP over the final month of the regular season.Yankees vs Red Sox odds, picks, prediction today, 24 Sep. The only pitcher with any usage concerns in this group heading into tonight is Garrett Richards, who has thrown three of the last five days. Similar to New York, Boston had yesterday as an off-day to rest their bullpen. Note: Martinez has been ruled OUT for Tuesday night. Martinez, Rafael Devers, Kyle Schwarber, Hunter Renfroe, and Xander Bogaerts all being capable of doing significant damage with the bat in their hands. The Red Sox have a deep lineup with Alex Verdugo, J.D. During that stretch, they also ranked seventh in walk-rate and 13th in strikeout percentage.
#YANKEES RED SOX WILD CARD PREDICTION ISO#
Though it seemed that Boston struggled at the plate down the stretch, they still managed to rank third in OPS and seventh in ISO over the final month and change of the regular season. Eovaldi has been great far more often than he has been terrible in 2021, so bettors have little choice but to bet on a strong outing from him in this one. In his last 14 trips to the mound, he has allowed three runs or fewer on 11 occasions, but when he has been bad, he has been really bad-allowing seven or more earned runs in two of his other three starts during that span. Since the All-Star break, Eovaldi owns a 3.87 ERA and a 3.03 FIP. He was even better when pitching at Fenway Park, where he posted a 2.43 FIP and a 1.12 WHIP this year in 114.0 innings. He ranked in the 62nd percentile or better in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, xwOBA, 圎RA, xSLG, barrel-rate, strikeout and walk percentage, and chase rate. Chad Green, Wandy Peralta, Jonathan Loaisiga, Aroldis Chapman, and Clay Holmes all threw on Sunday, but none of them have thrown more than 24 pitches in the last three days, so there should be no usage concerns.Įovaldi shined in 2021 with a 3.75 ERA, 3.37 圎RA, and a 2.79 FIP in 32 starts for the Red Sox. An off day yesterday means that everyone should be available for this group tonight. However, they seemed to lock-in towards the end of the regular season, ranking fifth in bullpen FIP over the last 30 days. New York’s bullpen was not as dominant as fans have grown accustomed to in recent years. LeMahieu will not play in this contest due to an injury. The Yankees will likely need strong showings from these two stars in this one if they hope to still be playing baseball later this week. Down the stretch, Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton were two of the hottest hitters in baseball-helping to secure a postseason berth for New York. They also rank 18th in walk rate and 25th in strikeout percentage over that span. Since the beginning of September, New York ranks 16th in OPS and ninth in ISO. The Yankees were one of the most inconsistent offensive attacks in Major League Baseball this season, at times looking like a juggernaut, and at other times looking lost at the plate.
Bettors should expect a strong outing from him tonight with New York’s season on the line. Cole was roughed up in two of his last three starts to end the regular season, but he was excellent in the second half of the campaign with a 3.66 ERA and a 2.74 FIP over his last 13 starts.
He was equally good both at Yankee Stadium and when pitching on the road-posting a 2.92 FIP and a 2.84 xFIP at home compared to a 2.92 FIP and a 3.01 xFIP on the road. Cole ranked in the 86th percentile or higher in xwOBA, 圎RA, xBA, xSLG, strikeout and walk percentage, whiff-rate, and chase rate. Across 181.1 innings of work in 2021, Cole turned in a 3.23 ERA, 3.15 圎RA, and a 2.92 FIP.
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